United Baseball League Playoff Odds Report

Simulated 1000 seasons using pythagorean record (Exp = ((r + ra)/g)^0.287 ) to estimate success

American League Eastern Division

Team		W	L	PCT	GB	RF	RA	PRec	PPCT	Luck	Best	Best+	Worst	Worst+	Div%	WC%	Ply%	Opp%
Tampa Bay Devil Rays	Tampa Bay Devil Rays	15	7	.682	-	116	74	15-7	.697	0	114-48	99-41	79-83	64-76	70.2	26.0	96.2	.502
Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	14	8	.636	1.0	122	90	14-8	.642	0	113-49	99-41	74-88	60-80	23.0	62.9	85.9	.505
New York Yankees	New York Yankees	13	9	.591	2.0	107	90	13-9	.580	0	105-57	92-48	71-91	58-82	6.8	47.9	54.7	.507
Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	11	10	.524	3.5	85	112	8-13	.372	3	89-73	78-63	54-108	43-98	0.0	0.7	0.7	.512
Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	7	15	.318	8.0	78	99	9-13	.393	-2	88-74	81-59	49-113	42-98	0.0	0.1	0.1	.516

American League Central Division

Team		W	L	PCT	GB	RF	RA	PRec	PPCT	Luck	Best	Best+	Worst	Worst+	Div%	WC%	Ply%	Opp%
Las Vegas Gamblers	Las Vegas Gamblers	12	8	.600	-	115	111	10-10	.518	2	105-57	93-49	60-102	48-94	25.8	13.9	39.7	.498
Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	13	9	.591	-	115	98	13-9	.576	0	116-46	103-37	72-90	59-81	63.5	8.7	72.1	.493
Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	9	11	.450	3.0	86	90	10-10	.479	-1	98-64	89-53	60-102	51-91	6.5	4.1	10.7	.498
Cleveland Indians	Cleveland Indians	8	11	.421	3.5	87	96	9-10	.453	-1	93-69	85-58	56-106	48-95	3.2	2.1	5.4	.501
Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	8	14	.364	5.0	93	108	9-13	.430	-1	91-71	83-57	55-107	47-93	0.9	0.6	1.6	.500

American League Western Division

Team		W	L	PCT	GB	RF	RA	PRec	PPCT	Luck	Best	Best+	Worst	Worst+	Div%	WC%	Ply%	Opp%
Oakland Athletics	Oakland Athletics	15	8	.652	-	129	116	13-10	.552	2	107-55	92-47	72-90	57-82	58.5	12.3	70.8	.492
Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	13	8	.619	1.0	129	124	11-10	.520	2	107-55	94-47	68-94	55-86	30.1	13.6	43.6	.496
Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	10	12	.455	4.5	100	99	11-11	.505	-1	98-64	88-52	61-101	51-89	10.4	7.6	18.0	.490
Anaheim Angels	Anaheim Angels	9	13	.409	5.5	104	121	9-13	.427	0	94-68	85-55	56-106	47-93	0.9	1.4	2.3	.502
Houston Astros	Houston Astros	6	15	.286	8.0	79	102	8-13	.384	-2	85-77	79-62	51-111	45-96	0.1	0.0	0.1	.499

National League Eastern Division

Team		W	L	PCT	GB	RF	RA	PRec	PPCT	Luck	Best	Best+	Worst	Worst+	Div%	WC%	Ply%	Opp%
Florida Marlins	Florida Marlins	13	9	.591	-	84	73	12-10	.561	1	106-56	93-47	69-93	56-84	44.1	16.7	60.8	.496
Montreal Expos	Montreal Expos	12	9	.571	0.5	93	85	11-10	.541	1	104-58	92-49	65-97	53-88	27.4	14.0	41.4	.502
Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	11	10	.524	1.5	92	84	11-10	.542	0	105-57	94-47	68-94	57-84	19.7	12.2	31.9	.503
New York Mets	New York Mets	9	11	.450	3.0	88	86	10-10	.511	-1	98-64	89-53	60-102	51-91	6.7	6.8	13.4	.507
Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	9	11	.450	3.0	78	88	9-11	.445	0	95-67	86-56	58-104	49-93	2.1	1.9	4.0	.502

National League Central Division

Team		W	L	PCT	GB	RF	RA	PRec	PPCT	Luck	Best	Best+	Worst	Worst+	Div%	WC%	Ply%	Opp%
Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	14	8	.636	-	104	99	12-10	.523	2	105-57	91-49	68-94	54-86	54.9	10.1	64.9	.485
Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	12	10	.546	2.0	97	93	11-11	.520	1	107-55	95-45	67-95	55-85	42.4	10.5	52.9	.484
St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	8	14	.364	6.0	91	125	8-14	.352	0	86-76	78-62	52-110	44-96	0.1	0.1	0.2	.495
Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	8	14	.364	6.0	81	95	9-13	.428	-1	89-73	81-59	55-107	47-93	1.9	0.8	2.7	.488
Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	6	14	.300	7.0	107	135	8-12	.383	-2	88-74	82-60	53-109	47-95	0.8	0.0	0.8	.497

National League Western Division

Team		W	L	PCT	GB	RF	RA	PRec	PPCT	Luck	Best	Best+	Worst	Worst+	Div%	WC%	Ply%	Opp%
San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	15	7	.682	-	119	72	16-6	.718	-1	119-43	104-36	80-82	65-75	74.8	23.7	98.6	.497
Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	11	9	.550	3.0	102	70	13-7	.668	-2	111-51	100-42	79-83	68-74	23.9	67.6	91.5	.497
Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	11	10	.524	3.5	127	114	12-9	.554	-1	103-59	92-49	65-97	54-87	1.2	37.7	38.9	.502
San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	10	11	.476	4.5	91	120	8-13	.369	2	85-77	75-66	52-110	42-99	0.0	0.1	0.1	.514
Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	7	14	.333	7.5	73	103	7-14	.347	0	83-79	76-65	42-120	35-106	0.0	0.0	0.0	.515

Wild Card

American League Wild Card

Team		W	L	PCT	GB	Best	Best+	Worst	Worst+	Div%	WC%	Ply%	Opp%
Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	14	8	.636	100999.5+0.5	113-49	99-41	74-88	60-80	23.0	62.9	85.9	.505
Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	13	8	.619	101000.0-	107-55	94-47	68-94	55-86	30.1	13.6	43.6	.496
New York Yankees	New York Yankees	13	9	.591	101000.50.5	105-57	92-48	71-91	58-82	6.8	47.9	54.7	.507
Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	13	9	.591	101000.50.5	116-46	103-37	72-90	59-81	63.5	8.7	72.1	.493
Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	11	10	.524	101002.02.0	89-73	78-63	54-108	43-98	0.0	0.7	0.7	.512
Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	10	12	.455	101003.53.5	98-64	88-52	61-101	51-89	10.4	7.6	18.0	.490
Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	9	11	.450	101003.53.5	98-64	89-53	60-102	51-91	6.5	4.1	10.7	.498
Cleveland Indians	Cleveland Indians	8	11	.421	101004.04.0	93-69	85-58	56-106	48-95	3.2	2.1	5.4	.501
Anaheim Angels	Anaheim Angels	9	13	.409	101004.54.5	94-68	85-55	56-106	47-93	0.9	1.4	2.3	.502
Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	8	14	.364	101005.55.5	91-71	83-57	55-107	47-93	0.9	0.6	1.6	.500
Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	7	15	.318	101006.56.5	88-74	81-59	49-113	42-98	0.0	0.1	0.1	.516
Houston Astros	Houston Astros	6	15	.286	101007.07.0	85-77	79-62	51-111	45-96	0.1	0.0	0.1	.499

National League Wild Card

Team		W	L	PCT	GB	Best	Best+	Worst	Worst+	Div%	WC%	Ply%	Opp%
Montreal Expos	Montreal Expos	12	9	.571	100999.5+0.5	104-58	92-49	65-97	53-88	27.4	14.0	41.4	.502
Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	11	9	.550	101000.0-	111-51	100-42	79-83	68-74	23.9	67.6	91.5	.497
Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	12	10	.546	101000.0-	107-55	95-45	67-95	55-85	42.4	10.5	52.9	.484
Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	11	10	.524	101000.50.5	105-57	94-47	68-94	57-84	19.7	12.2	31.9	.503
Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	11	10	.524	101000.50.5	103-59	92-49	65-97	54-87	1.2	37.7	38.9	.502
San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	10	11	.476	101001.51.5	85-77	75-66	52-110	42-99	0.0	0.1	0.1	.514
New York Mets	New York Mets	9	11	.450	101002.02.0	98-64	89-53	60-102	51-91	6.7	6.8	13.4	.507
Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	9	11	.450	101002.02.0	95-67	86-56	58-104	49-93	2.1	1.9	4.0	.502
Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	8	14	.364	101004.04.0	89-73	81-59	55-107	47-93	1.9	0.8	2.7	.488
St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	8	14	.364	101004.04.0	86-76	78-62	52-110	44-96	0.1	0.1	0.2	.495
Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	7	14	.333	101004.54.5	83-79	76-65	42-120	35-106	0.0	0.0	0.0	.515
Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	6	14	.300	101005.05.0	88-74	82-60	53-109	47-95	0.8	0.0	0.8	.497