United Baseball League Playoff Odds Report

Simulated 1000 seasons using pythagorean record (Exp = ((r + ra)/g)^0.287 ) to estimate success

American League Eastern Division

Team		W	L	PCT	GB	RF	RA	PRec	PPCT	Luck	Best	Best+	Worst	Worst+	Div%	WC%	Ply%	Opp%
New York Yankees	New York Yankees	40	34	.541	-	385	346	41-33	.551	-1	102-60	62-26	72-90	32-56	66.7	24.2	90.9	.494
Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	37	35	.514	2.0	410	418	35-37	.490	2	96-66	59-31	66-96	29-61	9.6	29.6	39.2	.498
Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	37	36	.507	2.5	364	352	38-35	.516	-1	100-62	63-26	71-91	34-55	23.5	43.3	66.8	.479
Tampa Bay Devil Rays	Tampa Bay Devil Rays	31	41	.431	8.0	331	375	32-40	.440	-1	84-78	53-37	56-106	25-65	0.0	0.7	0.7	.508
Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	30	43	.411	9.5	360	381	34-39	.472	-4	93-69	63-26	56-106	26-63	0.2	1.6	1.8	.500

American League Central Division

Team		W	L	PCT	GB	RF	RA	PRec	PPCT	Luck	Best	Best+	Worst	Worst+	Div%	WC%	Ply%	Opp%
Las Vegas Gamblers	Las Vegas Gamblers	44	26	.629	-	396	274	47-23	.669	-3	122-40	78-14	92-70	48-44	99.4	0.6	100.0	.472
Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	42	30	.583	3.0	410	377	39-33	.542	3	105-57	63-27	75-87	33-57	0.6	93.8	94.4	.498
Cleveland Indians	Cleveland Indians	35	35	.500	9.0	327	346	33-37	.473	2	94-68	59-33	66-96	31-61	0.0	33.0	33.0	.480
Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	35	38	.480	10.5	353	384	34-39	.459	1	89-73	54-35	61-101	26-63	0.0	4.5	4.5	.510
Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	23	48	.324	21.5	295	438	22-49	.316	1	65-97	42-49	36-126	13-78	0.0	0.0	0.0	.521

American League Western Division

Team		W	L	PCT	GB	RF	RA	PRec	PPCT	Luck	Best	Best+	Worst	Worst+	Div%	WC%	Ply%	Opp%
Oakland Athletics	Oakland Athletics	50	22	.694	-	426	311	47-25	.649	3	123-39	73-17	96-66	46-44	100.0	0.0	100.0	.491
Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	37	36	.507	13.5	372	375	36-37	.496	1	95-67	58-31	67-95	30-59	0.0	34.3	34.3	.502
Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	34	39	.466	16.5	347	336	38-35	.515	-4	95-67	61-28	65-97	31-58	0.0	28.0	28.0	.500
Houston Astros	Houston Astros	30	43	.411	20.5	336	376	33-40	.446	-3	86-76	56-33	54-108	24-65	0.0	0.7	0.7	.503
Anaheim Angels	Anaheim Angels	30	44	.405	21.0	335	385	32-42	.434	-2	82-80	52-36	54-108	24-64	0.0	0.0	0.0	.517

National League Eastern Division

Team		W	L	PCT	GB	RF	RA	PRec	PPCT	Luck	Best	Best+	Worst	Worst+	Div%	WC%	Ply%	Opp%
Florida Marlins	Florida Marlins	46	27	.630	-	381	328	42-31	.571	4	112-50	66-23	82-80	36-53	78.5	20.4	98.9	.485
New York Mets	New York Mets	42	30	.583	3.5	374	334	40-32	.554	2	106-56	64-26	77-85	35-55	20.8	65.2	86.0	.493
Montreal Expos	Montreal Expos	35	37	.486	10.5	382	339	40-32	.558	-5	99-63	64-26	68-94	33-57	0.8	25.6	26.4	.512
Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	34	39	.466	12.0	331	371	33-40	.446	1	87-75	53-36	55-107	21-68	0.0	0.1	0.1	.519
Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	30	42	.417	15.5	271	323	30-42	.420	0	81-81	51-39	50-112	20-70	0.0	0.0	0.0	.511

National League Central Division

Team		W	L	PCT	GB	RF	RA	PRec	PPCT	Luck	Best	Best+	Worst	Worst+	Div%	WC%	Ply%	Opp%
Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	43	28	.606	-	343	316	38-33	.539	5	108-54	65-26	75-87	32-59	61.9	26.0	87.9	.493
Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	40	32	.556	3.5	364	338	39-33	.536	1	105-57	65-25	68-94	28-62	22.3	37.7	60.0	.500
St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	39	32	.549	4.0	361	331	38-33	.542	1	102-60	63-28	71-91	32-59	15.7	38.3	54.0	.506
Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	30	42	.417	13.5	298	313	34-38	.477	-4	91-71	61-29	59-103	29-61	0.1	0.3	0.4	.506
Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	29	44	.397	15.0	332	383	32-41	.432	-3	79-83	50-39	48-114	19-70	0.0	0.0	0.0	.516

National League Western Division

Team		W	L	PCT	GB	RF	RA	PRec	PPCT	Luck	Best	Best+	Worst	Worst+	Div%	WC%	Ply%	Opp%
San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	46	25	.648	-	352	271	44-27	.620	2	119-43	73-18	87-75	41-50	99.2	0.8	100.0	.492
Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	41	31	.569	5.5	340	325	38-34	.521	3	100-62	59-31	72-90	31-59	0.7	54.6	55.2	.498
Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	34	36	.486	11.5	354	331	37-33	.532	-3	97-65	63-29	71-91	37-55	0.1	21.9	22.1	.490
San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	32	42	.432	15.5	335	376	33-41	.445	-1	86-76	54-34	58-104	26-62	0.0	0.1	0.1	.512
Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	27	46	.370	20.0	301	413	26-47	.352	1	72-90	45-44	44-118	17-72	0.0	0.0	0.0	.517

Wild Card

American League Wild Card

Team		W	L	PCT	GB	Best	Best+	Worst	Worst+	Div%	WC%	Ply%	Opp%
Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	42	30	.583	100994.5+5.5	105-57	63-27	75-87	33-57	0.6	93.8	94.4	.498
Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	37	35	.514	100999.5+0.5	96-66	59-31	66-96	29-61	9.6	29.6	39.2	.498
Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	37	36	.507	101000.0-	95-67	58-31	67-95	30-59	0.0	34.3	34.3	.502
Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	37	36	.507	101000.0-	100-62	63-26	71-91	34-55	23.5	43.3	66.8	.479
Cleveland Indians	Cleveland Indians	35	35	.500	101000.50.5	94-68	59-33	66-96	31-61	0.0	33.0	33.0	.480
Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	35	38	.480	101002.02.0	89-73	54-35	61-101	26-63	0.0	4.5	4.5	.510
Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	34	39	.466	101003.03.0	95-67	61-28	65-97	31-58	0.0	28.0	28.0	.500
Tampa Bay Devil Rays	Tampa Bay Devil Rays	31	41	.431	101005.55.5	84-78	53-37	56-106	25-65	0.0	0.7	0.7	.508
Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	30	43	.411	101007.07.0	93-69	63-26	56-106	26-63	0.2	1.6	1.8	.500
Houston Astros	Houston Astros	30	43	.411	101007.07.0	86-76	56-33	54-108	24-65	0.0	0.7	0.7	.503
Anaheim Angels	Anaheim Angels	30	44	.405	101007.57.5	82-80	52-36	54-108	24-64	0.0	0.0	0.0	.517
Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	23	48	.324	101013.013.0	65-97	42-49	36-126	13-78	0.0	0.0	0.0	.521

National League Wild Card

Team		W	L	PCT	GB	Best	Best+	Worst	Worst+	Div%	WC%	Ply%	Opp%
New York Mets	New York Mets	42	30	.583	100998.0+2	106-56	64-26	77-85	35-55	20.8	65.2	86.0	.493
Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	41	31	.569	100999.0+1	100-62	59-31	72-90	31-59	0.7	54.6	55.2	.498
Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	40	32	.556	101000.0-	105-57	65-25	68-94	28-62	22.3	37.7	60.0	.500
St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	39	32	.549	101000.50.5	102-60	63-28	71-91	32-59	15.7	38.3	54.0	.506
Montreal Expos	Montreal Expos	35	37	.486	101005.05.0	99-63	64-26	68-94	33-57	0.8	25.6	26.4	.512
Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	34	36	.486	101005.05.0	97-65	63-29	71-91	37-55	0.1	21.9	22.1	.490
Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	34	39	.466	101006.56.5	87-75	53-36	55-107	21-68	0.0	0.1	0.1	.519
San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	32	42	.432	101009.09.0	86-76	54-34	58-104	26-62	0.0	0.1	0.1	.512
Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	30	42	.417	101010.010.0	81-81	51-39	50-112	20-70	0.0	0.0	0.0	.511
Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	30	42	.417	101010.010.0	91-71	61-29	59-103	29-61	0.1	0.3	0.4	.506
Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	29	44	.397	101011.511.5	79-83	50-39	48-114	19-70	0.0	0.0	0.0	.516
Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	27	46	.370	101013.513.5	72-90	45-44	44-118	17-72	0.0	0.0	0.0	.517