United Baseball League Playoff Odds Report

Simulated 1000 seasons using pythagorean record (Exp = ((r + ra)/g)^0.287 ) to estimate success

American League Eastern Division

Team		W	L	PCT	GB	RF	RA	PRec	PPCT	Luck	Best	Best+	Worst	Worst+	Div%	WC%	Ply%	Opp%
New York Yankees	New York Yankees	36	23	.610	-	299	277	32-27	.537	4	109-53	73-30	73-89	37-66	25.6	6.3	31.9	.513
Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	36	24	.600	0.5	315	272	34-26	.570	2	113-49	77-25	76-86	40-62	51.6	4.7	56.3	.510
Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	32	26	.552	3.5	313	292	31-27	.534	1	101-61	69-35	70-92	38-66	11.5	2.5	14.0	.510
Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	30	29	.509	6.0	307	263	34-25	.574	-4	103-59	73-30	70-92	40-63	11.2	3.4	14.6	.519
Tampa Bay Devil Rays	Tampa Bay Devil Rays	29	29	.500	6.5	290	320	26-32	.452	3	91-71	62-42	57-105	28-76	0.1	0.0	0.1	.527

American League Central Division

Team		W	L	PCT	GB	RF	RA	PRec	PPCT	Luck	Best	Best+	Worst	Worst+	Div%	WC%	Ply%	Opp%
Cleveland Indians	Cleveland Indians	37	22	.627	-	334	255	37-22	.628	0	117-45	80-23	87-75	50-53	87.0	10.0	97.0	.470
Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	32	25	.561	4.0	306	257	33-24	.583	-1	108-54	76-29	77-85	45-60	12.9	43.0	55.9	.482
Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	28	30	.483	8.5	295	335	25-33	.437	3	93-69	65-39	59-103	31-73	0.0	0.1	0.1	.480
Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	23	36	.390	14.0	238	354	19-40	.317	4	74-88	51-52	44-118	21-82	0.0	0.0	0.0	.507
Las Vegas Gamblers	Las Vegas Gamblers	18	39	.316	18.0	255	356	19-38	.341	-1	71-91	53-52	42-120	24-81	0.0	0.0	0.0	.488

American League Western Division

Team		W	L	PCT	GB	RF	RA	PRec	PPCT	Luck	Best	Best+	Worst	Worst+	Div%	WC%	Ply%	Opp%
Oakland Athletics	Oakland Athletics	42	18	.700	-	375	259	40-20	.674	2	122-40	80-22	95-67	53-49	94.5	5.5	99.9	.487
Houston Astros	Houston Astros	35	25	.583	7.0	399	304	38-22	.634	-3	111-51	76-26	80-82	45-57	4.7	79.4	84.1	.496
Anaheim Angels	Anaheim Angels	33	25	.569	8.0	304	253	34-24	.587	-1	107-55	74-30	78-84	45-59	0.8	46.2	47.1	.496
Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	24	35	.407	17.5	250	309	24-35	.400	0	80-82	56-47	50-112	26-77	0.0	0.0	0.0	.511
Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	11	47	.190	30.0	251	437	14-44	.245	-3	53-109	42-62	25-137	14-90	0.0	0.0	0.0	.523

National League Eastern Division

Team		W	L	PCT	GB	RF	RA	PRec	PPCT	Luck	Best	Best+	Worst	Worst+	Div%	WC%	Ply%	Opp%
New York Mets	New York Mets	32	26	.552	-	275	219	35-23	.604	-3	112-50	80-24	80-82	48-56	95.8	1.5	97.4	.479
Florida Marlins	Florida Marlins	29	30	.492	3.5	222	218	30-29	.508	-1	99-63	70-33	66-96	37-66	3.2	11.3	14.6	.491
Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	28	31	.475	4.5	238	263	27-32	.454	1	88-74	60-43	54-108	26-77	0.1	1.0	1.1	.521
Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	27	32	.458	5.5	242	269	27-32	.451	0	90-72	63-40	59-103	32-71	0.2	0.8	1.0	.496
Montreal Expos	Montreal Expos	23	35	.397	9.0	247	246	29-29	.502	-6	91-71	68-36	56-106	33-71	0.6	1.6	2.2	.500

National League Central Division

Team		W	L	PCT	GB	RF	RA	PRec	PPCT	Luck	Best	Best+	Worst	Worst+	Div%	WC%	Ply%	Opp%
St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	37	22	.627	-	287	275	31-28	.520	6	106-56	69-34	74-88	37-66	12.2	67.8	80.0	.502
Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	33	25	.569	3.5	308	230	37-21	.635	-4	113-49	80-24	83-79	50-54	87.5	12.0	99.4	.486
Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	30	29	.509	7.0	267	273	29-30	.490	1	96-66	66-37	66-96	36-67	0.3	10.5	10.8	.494
Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	23	37	.383	14.5	248	307	24-36	.400	-1	79-83	56-46	47-115	24-78	0.0	0.0	0.0	.513
Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	20	37	.351	16.0	264	319	23-34	.409	-3	81-81	61-44	48-114	28-77	0.0	0.0	0.0	.507

National League Western Division

Team		W	L	PCT	GB	RF	RA	PRec	PPCT	Luck	Best	Best+	Worst	Worst+	Div%	WC%	Ply%	Opp%
San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	40	19	.678	-	305	253	35-24	.588	5	113-49	73-30	81-81	41-62	78.8	20.2	99.0	.507
Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	32	25	.561	7.0	282	227	34-23	.600	-2	109-53	77-28	78-84	46-59	21.2	72.0	93.2	.504
San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	27	32	.458	13.0	268	296	27-32	.453	0	86-76	59-44	58-104	31-72	0.0	0.5	0.5	.513
Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	26	32	.448	13.5	310	335	27-31	.461	-1	88-74	62-42	59-103	33-71	0.0	0.9	0.9	.505
Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	25	33	.431	14.5	268	289	27-31	.464	-2	87-75	62-42	59-103	34-70	0.0	0.7	0.7	.509

Wild Card

American League Wild Card

Team		W	L	PCT	GB	Best	Best+	Worst	Worst+	Div%	WC%	Ply%	Opp%
Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	36	24	.600	100999.0+1	113-49	77-25	76-86	40-62	51.6	4.7	56.3	.510
Houston Astros	Houston Astros	35	25	.583	101000.0-	111-51	76-26	80-82	45-57	4.7	79.4	84.1	.496
Anaheim Angels	Anaheim Angels	33	25	.569	101001.01.0	107-55	74-30	78-84	45-59	0.8	46.2	47.1	.496
Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	32	25	.561	101001.51.5	108-54	76-29	77-85	45-60	12.9	43.0	55.9	.482
Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	32	26	.552	101002.02.0	101-61	69-35	70-92	38-66	11.5	2.5	14.0	.510
Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	30	29	.509	101004.54.5	103-59	73-30	70-92	40-63	11.2	3.4	14.6	.519
Tampa Bay Devil Rays	Tampa Bay Devil Rays	29	29	.500	101005.05.0	91-71	62-42	57-105	28-76	0.1	0.0	0.1	.527
Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	28	30	.483	101006.06.0	93-69	65-39	59-103	31-73	0.0	0.1	0.1	.480
Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	24	35	.407	101010.510.5	80-82	56-47	50-112	26-77	0.0	0.0	0.0	.511
Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	23	36	.390	101011.511.5	74-88	51-52	44-118	21-82	0.0	0.0	0.0	.507
Las Vegas Gamblers	Las Vegas Gamblers	18	39	.316	101015.515.5	71-91	53-52	42-120	24-81	0.0	0.0	0.0	.488
Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	11	47	.190	101023.023.0	53-109	42-62	25-137	14-90	0.0	0.0	0.0	.523

National League Wild Card

Team		W	L	PCT	GB	Best	Best+	Worst	Worst+	Div%	WC%	Ply%	Opp%
Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	33	25	.569	100999.5+0.5	113-49	80-24	83-79	50-54	87.5	12.0	99.4	.486
Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	32	25	.561	101000.0-	109-53	77-28	78-84	46-59	21.2	72.0	93.2	.504
Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	30	29	.509	101003.03.0	96-66	66-37	66-96	36-67	0.3	10.5	10.8	.494
Florida Marlins	Florida Marlins	29	30	.492	101004.04.0	99-63	70-33	66-96	37-66	3.2	11.3	14.6	.491
Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	28	31	.475	101005.05.0	88-74	60-43	54-108	26-77	0.1	1.0	1.1	.521
San Francisco Giants	San Francisco Giants	27	32	.458	101006.06.0	86-76	59-44	58-104	31-72	0.0	0.5	0.5	.513
Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	27	32	.458	101006.06.0	90-72	63-40	59-103	32-71	0.2	0.8	1.0	.496
Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	26	32	.448	101006.56.5	88-74	62-42	59-103	33-71	0.0	0.9	0.9	.505
Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	25	33	.431	101007.57.5	87-75	62-42	59-103	34-70	0.0	0.7	0.7	.509
Montreal Expos	Montreal Expos	23	35	.397	101009.59.5	91-71	68-36	56-106	33-71	0.6	1.6	2.2	.500
Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	23	37	.383	101010.510.5	79-83	56-46	47-115	24-78	0.0	0.0	0.0	.513
Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	20	37	.351	101012.012.0	81-81	61-44	48-114	28-77	0.0	0.0	0.0	.507